Since 1142z, the 10m WSPR slot seems to haven amnwoken up with a mix of European stations both near and far. Some are GDX, possibly off aircraft, some are probably F2 propagation and some are at a difficult distance that could be E-layer or back-scatter. If the band is opening by winter Es I would expect more widespread EUs to be copied lunchtime. If true to recent form, the 10m band should open to the USA after lunch. With slightly lower sunspots, maybe the transatlantic path will be more marginal today?
UPDATE 1245z: W3CSW (5886km) was spotting my 500mW WSPR a few minutes ago at a respectable -20dB S/N.
UPDATE 1320z: KU4QI (6406km) is spotting my 500mW 10m WSPR at -18dB S/N.
UPDATE 1358z: Although several USA stations have now spotted my 500mW on 10m WSPR, I have yet to spot even a single USA station here! Not sure why this should be as most are using 5W (10dB more than me. I am seeing LZ1OI OK though.
UPDATE 1412z: My FT817 was set to "narrow" and the pass band tuning was set too high, so only allowing the strongest signals to be decoded. Since switching to normal passband I am copying plenty of transatlantic signals. There had to be answer, and there was.